Showing posts with label Houston. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Houston. Show all posts

Saturday, September 27, 2008

Facing the fury with fragile infrastructure

I made a quick trip to Beaumont, TX, this week to check on my son and his wife. This sign is from the mall in Port Arthur. I thought it was very apropos. Hurricanes seem to be targeting population centers and infrastructure more and more.

The Materials Management Service reported this week that "52 of the 3,800 offshore oil and gas production platforms in the Gulf of Mexico had been destroyed by Hurricane Ike."

Also down for the count were three jack-up drilling rigs, and one platform drilling rig

"Initial estimates are that the 52 destroyed production platforms produced a total of 13,300 barrels of oil per day and 90 million cubic feet of gas per day."

Pipelines seemed to be a real target of the storm --

"To date, MMS has received reports of six gas transmission pipeline systems with damage. Analysis of the impact that this damage may have on resuming production is underway. Operators have begun to test and inspect other pipeline systems to evaluate the full extent of any damage. Considering the large impacted area, this will take some time to complete the inspections."

The MMS is working with operators to get passed some of the problems holding back resumption --
"Resuming Production – Production from the Gulf of Mexico accounts for 25 percent of the oil produced domestically and 15 percent of the natural gas produced domestically. ...
"Working with oil and gas operators, there are tools that can be used to assist in resuming production which is curtailed because of damaged pipelines. These tools include barging, temporary flaring, and re-routing of product through other pipelines. Use of these tools requires that offshore operators submit requests to MMS for approval."

MMS reports from yesterday estimated that approximately 59% of the oil production in the Gulf is shut-in and that approximately 56% of the natural gas production in the Gulf is shut-in.

The MMS used reports from operators to estimate that personnel are still evacuated from a total of 145 production platforms, equivalent to 20.1 % of the 694 manned platforms in the Gulf of Mexico.

If you are keeping count. That is two major energy infrastructure components that Hurricane Ike targeted severely: the electric grid and the offshore oil structures.

Strange fact of the day:

As I was driving home from Beaumont, I locked in on a Public Radio program in Louisiana that had various utility officials and emergency officials talking about what we learned from the storms. The Entergy spokesperson discussed how the electric utility plans for storms by doing mock storm drills before the start of the hurricane season.

The company which serves, among other areas, the New Orleans region and part of the Houston region, did its normal drill before the start of the 2005 season that saw Hurricane Katrina devastate the New Orleans region.

It was kind of freaky to hear that that drill, done several months before Katrina, was a scenario of a mock major hurricane hitting New Orleans.

Talk about prescience.

But it got a little more weird.

I guess based on the fact that in 2005 Hurricane Katrina was followed a month later by Hurricane Rita hitting Texas, the company this year did a mock drill of a a major hurricane followed a week later by another.

Of course that is just what happened. Hurricane Gustav sacked South Louisiana, the New Orleans region and ripped through the heart of the Louisiana as it dragged its way north. Twelve days later Hurricane Ike slammed into Houston.

A couple of observations.

1. Maybe the TV channels needs to hire Entergy to do long range forecasting.

2. We seem to be getting it right. We have a lot better understanding of hurricanes -- where they will go and the type of damage they will inflict.

Now we need to have a national dialogue on how, with better pre-hurricane planning and preparation ( including better building practices) we can spend the majority of our efforts on gettting out of the way of the storm and less on months and years of rebuilding.

How do we armor our infrastructure and our cities from these beasts?

-- steve buser


Friday, September 12, 2008

Mighty Ike expected to mess with Texas

This is the latest view of Hurricane Ike from NASA's Global Climate and Hydrology Center.

I have marked New Orleans (where I am) and Houston (the apparent landfill target -- and where I am glad I am not.)

Our thoughts and prayers are with those in Houston and the surrounding area. Notice the eye which has opened up in the center of Ike -- that had not be visible yesterday -- he seems to be getting better organized. Fortunately, weather forecasters say there are lot of things keeping Ike from organizing up to a Category 4 or 5 storm (wind shear, dry air wrapping in to the swirl periodically, etc). Ike is expected to be a Category 2 or 3 storm when it pushes as much of the Gulf as it can control up over the beaches of Galveston later tonight.

-steve buser

Thursday, September 11, 2008

Houston target for Hurricane Ike?

The newest storm advisory from the National Hurricane Center slides the center of the forecast path up the coast to near or over Houston

Wednesday, September 10, 2008

Ike staring down Texas' barrel

The National Hurricane center says Hurricane Ike, a Category 2 storm with 100 mph winds, now officially has the Texas Coast line in its 3-day cone of uncertainty, though Ike is continuing to drag along at 8 mph in a northwest direction. I know this has a lot of people in Texas scrambling, not the least of which is Galveston and Houston which take a lot of time to evacuate.

(photo on the left is a FEMA photo of evacuation buses at a staging area in Beeville, ready to roll)

The NOAA Satellite and Information Service has out a new high resolution picture showing Ike setting up its spidery swirl across the entire Gulf of Mexico.

News notes:

Evacuation buses moving south of Houston

President declares emergency in Texas

School closings in Houston area

City of Corpus Christi Hurricane Site

Corpus Christi closures due to Ike

--steve buser

Hurricane Ike demands attention


Pictures starting to flow in from the destruction in the Caribean -- these Haiti pictures are by
Radio Nederland Wereldomroep on Flickr.com

Some the headlines developing:

Up-to-date changes and cancellations in Corpus Christi (Caller Times)

Navy shifts personnel in advance of Ike. Corpus Christi (Caller Times)

The pre-storm hotel rush is on Corpus Christi (Caller Times)

Evacuation of coastal residents ordered near Houston -- Houston Chronicle


The Material Management Service which overseas U.S. interest in oil and gas drilling said yesterday "personnel have been evacuated from a total of 167 production platforms, equivalent to 23.3 % of the 717 manned platforms in the Gulf of Mexico. Production platforms are the structures located offshore from which oil and natural gas are produced. These structures remain in the same location throughout a project’s duration unlike drilling rigs which typically move from location to location. "

The service added "
Personnel from 44 rigs have also been evacuated; this is equivalent to 36.4 % of the 121 rigs currently operating in the Gulf. Rigs caninclude several types of self-contained offshore drilling facilitiesincluding jackups, submersibles and semisubmersibles.

From the operators’ reports, it is estimated that approximately 77.5% of the oil production in the Gulf has been shut-in. Estimated current oil production from the Gulf of Mexico is 1.3 millionbarrels of oil per day. It is also estimated that approximately 64.8% of the natural gas production in the Gulf has been shut-in. ..."

-steve buser

Tuesday, September 9, 2008

Texas media starting to ramp up Hurricane Ike news

This buoy off Sand Key, FL is reporting winds of 54kts out of the east south east, showing the Florida keys will be getting some strong effects for Hurricane Ike as it passes by the dangling state. The best real time site to watch Hurricane Ike, right now, is the radar at Casablanca, Cuba.

Meanwhile, the weather news is picking up in the Houston area after yesterdays the oil companies sprang to action:

Oil, gas companies do it all over again

here's the Houston Chronicle's Hurricane Central

Corpus Christi's Caller Times is paying close attention to Hurricane Ike

The Brownsville Herald is also keeping track of where the storm will be targeting in the lower Texas coast

Even the Beaumont Enterprise on the the upper Texas coast reports events beginning to be cancelled in anticipation of the weather events to come.

--steve buser